Craig Kirkwood

  • Professor, Supply Chain Management

Supply Chain Management
Arizona State University
PO BOX 874706
Tempe, AZ 85287-4706


Craig W. Kirkwood is Professor in the Supply Chain Management Department at Arizona State University, as well as a former department chair and acting dean in the ASU W. P. Carey School of Business. Prior to joining ASU, he was manager of the decision analysis group at Woodward-Clyde Consultants, San Francisco and on the engineering faculties at the University of Colorado and the University of Michigan. His research interests include large scale decision analysis models, decision analysis using partial or approximate information, and performance metrics for supply chain networks. He has conducted decision and risk analysis studies to support decision making in a variety of areas including research and development planning, evaluation of technological alternatives, risk analysis for hazardous and radioactive materials management, site selection for large facilities, risk assessment for project management, and risk management for infrastructure planning.

Dr. Kirkwood received S.B., S.M., E.E., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering and operations research from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has published widely on topics related to quantitative analysis to support decision making under uncertainty, including the book Strategic Decision Making. He has served on several NSF panels, including the Advisory Panel for the Decision, Risk, and Management Science Program, Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Phase I Panel, and the Design Theory Review Panel. He served on the U. S. Department of Energy expert panel on inadvertent intrusion into the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant. Dr. Kirkwood has served in numerous professional leadership roles, including Treasurer for both the Operations Research Society of America and the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) and President of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. He is a Fellow of INFORMS, and other awards he has received include the Frank P. Ramsey Medal of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society for lifetime achievement and both the Decision Analysis Society Publication and Practice Awards, as well as the George E. Kimball Medal of INFORMS for distinguished service.



Faculty Page

Journal Articles


Simon, J., C. W. Kirkwood and L. R. Keller. 2014. Decision analysis with geographically varying outcomes: preference models and illustrative applications. Operations Research 62(1):182-194. (link)


Gober, P., E. A. Wentz, T. Lant, M. K. Tschudi and C. W. Kirkwood. 2011. WaterSim: A simulation model for urban water planning in Phoenix, Arizona, USA. Environment and Planning B 38(2):197-215. DOI: 10.1068/b36075. (link)


Gober, P. and C. W. Kirkwood. 2010. Vulnerability assessment of climate-induced water shortage in Phoenix. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 107(50):21295-21299. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0911113107. (link)

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Book Chapters


Gober, P., D. D. White, R. Quay, D. A. Sampson and C. W. Kirkwood. 2014. Socio-hydrology modelling for an uncertain future, with examples from the USA and Canada. In: Riddick, A. T., H. Kessler and J. R. Giles eds., Integrated Environmental Modelling to Solve Real World Problems: Methods, Vision and Challenges. Vol 408. The Geological Society of London. DOI: 10.1144/SP408.2. (link)



Quay, R., D. A. Sampson, D. D. White, C. W. Kirkwood and P. Gober. 2013. Using advanced scenario analysis as an anticipatory tool: Exploring the uncertainty of urban water demand and supply within central Arizona. Poster presented at the 11 January 2013, 15th Annual CAP LTER Poster Symposium and All Scientist Meeting 2013, Skysong, Scottsdale, AZ. (link)

Sampson, D. A., R. Quay, D. D. White, P. Gober and C. W. Kirkwood. 2013. Anticipatory water management in Phoenix using advanced scenario planning and analyses: WaterSim 5. Poster presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, December 9-13, 2013, San Francisco, CA.


Feng, T., L. R. Keller, C. W. Kirkwood, N. S. Jones, J. Simon and L. Kessel. 2008. A multiple-objective, multiple-stakeholder decision analysis approach for water resources planning. Irvine, CA. Poster presented at Focus the Nation at UC Irvine: Sustainability and Climate Change Solutions, Irvine, CA. January 30-31, 2008.

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White, D. D., P. Gober, D. A. Sampson, R. Quay and C. W. Kirkwood. 2013. Socio-hydrology modelling for an uncertain future, with examples from the USA and Canada. Presentation at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, December 9-13, 2013, San Francisco, CA.


Kirkwood, C. W. 2009. Risk management for urban water resources under global climate change: The case of Phoenix, Arizona. INFORMS Western Regional Conference, Tempe, AZ. April 24-25, 2009.

Kirkwood, C. W. 2009. Uncertainty and tradeoffs in urban water resources decision making: The case of Phoenix, Arizona. Presented October 11, 2010 at the INFORMS 2009 Annual Meeting, San Diego, CA.

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Larson, K. L., D. D. White, P. Gober, C. W. Kirkwood, V. K. Smith, M. C. Nelson, C. L. Redman and S. K. Wittlinger. 2013. Advancing science in support of water policy and urban climate change adaptation at Arizona State University’s Decision Center for a Desert City: A synthesis of interdisciplinary research on climate, water, and decision making under uncertainty. Decision Center for a Desert City, Arizona State University. Technical Report 13-02. (link)


Feng, T., N. S. Jones, L. Kessel, J. Simon, L. R. Keller and C. W. Kirkwood. 2007. Survey of key stakeholder evaluation concerns and tradeoffs for Central Arizona water resource planning: Methods and results. Decision Center for a Desert City, Global Institute of Sustainability, Arizona State University. Technical Report, June 19, 2007.